Systems and Means of Informatics

2021, Volume 31, Issue 3, pp 88-100

METHODOLOGY FOR ASSESSING PRODUCTION RISKS FOR DEVELOPING WEAPONS AND MILITARY EQUIPMENT

  • A. V. Bosov
  • A. A. Kryukov

Abstract

A methodology for assessing production risks at the stage of research and development work (R&D) in the development of high-tech products is presented. To take into account the complex classification of production risks, various sources of their occurrence, and spheres of influence on the R&D result, it is proposed to introduce a combined methodological approach and assess production risks partly by statistical methods and partly by the method of expert assessments. The content of the stages of the corresponding methodology is considered. The method of calculating the integral assessment of production risk and the scale of the levels of production risks of the project in accordance with the nature of the impact and acceptability are substantiated.

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